Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.357040 0.406569 0.463352 0.533921 0.620190 0.723445 0.858277
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.286244 0.351110 0.433880 0.550072 0.713869 0.944776 1.311603
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.237148 0.305890 0.400382 0.545463 0.774161 1.144482 1.851062
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.208025 0.279102 0.382797 0.554368 0.852761 1.403227 2.672744
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.179181 0.246785 0.349462 0.528464 0.862902 1.545173 3.391288
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.156322 0.219598 0.318698 0.498661 0.854901 1.646095 4.122645
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.139509 0.199346 0.295596 0.476834 0.855015 1.765531 5.073209
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.134585 0.197072 0.301560 0.509191 0.978961 2.267574 8.380152
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.133807 0.201282 0.319103 0.568180 1.189238 3.205513 17.570911
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.129626 0.199094 0.324580 0.603425 1.357972 4.213792 36.371268
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.124296 0.194210 0.324115 0.625310 1.501511 5.339113 80.686844
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.117487 0.185915 0.315770 0.626746 1.584329 6.324728 178.328273
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.107942 0.172218 0.295877 0.598396 1.566353 6.793238 342.911165
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.101532 0.163900 0.286274 0.595081 1.641250 8.117967 1629.664337
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.095119 0.155001 0.274384 0.583419 1.681979 9.370504 30143.178307
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.090890 0.149893 0.269948 0.591162 1.808711 11.967777 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.084437 0.139916 0.253720 0.562302 1.763380 12.589046 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.078322 0.130186 0.237140 0.529705 1.688649 12.701662 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.073347 0.122397 0.224237 0.505954 1.647607 13.287732 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.072646 0.123068 0.230522 0.541085 1.919942 21.073365 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.073468 0.126886 0.244632 0.605334 2.425313 45.259532 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.072605 0.127122 0.250230 0.643829 2.837087 89.869276 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.071015 0.125675 0.251482 0.667772 3.189364 178.530882 NaN